[Reserved] of the Korean Peninsula, "ball", returned to Beijing on hand? .January _ East.

Original Address: The Korean Peninsula "ball", returned to Beijing on hand? .Of: Paladin <em STYLE="FLoAT: right"> </ EM> on the Korean Peninsula, "ball", returned to Beijing on hand? .Han Huanghai four-day military exercise the U.S. has just ended, December 3, code-named "sword" on an unprecedented scale of the US-Japan joint military exercises soon debut. .It is reported that the strength of this exercise into two thousand nearly 4 million people, 60 ships, 4 million aircraft, the U.S. "Washington" aircraft carrier, B-52 bombers, F-16 fighters, and all the new appearance, its size is .6 times the United States and Han Huanghai exercise is the largest U.S. military exercise in the history of the calendar. .Previously, China had put forward six-party talks, but were refused United States, Japan, South Korea's new defense minister also claimed that if North Korea and then dared to provoke, South Korea will be imposed air strikes. .Korean bellicose, war seemed imminent. .The large-scale military exercises where the US-Japan island of Kyushu in western Japan, Okinawa, Japan, the eastern waters, and part of mainland Japan Self-Defense Force base. .The main content of the exercise is for anti-ship ballistic missile defense interceptors and islands. .United States, "Washington" will continue participating carrier. .Although this exercise, had been identified at the beginning, but with the Sino-Japanese conflict in the East China Sea, Yellow Sea and South Korea in a series of conflicts, in particular, Yin Ping Island incident, so fears, this series of exercises will Jiaxi .really do. .Yin Ping Island incident, had not participated in military exercises the United States Han Huanghai "Washington" aircraft carrier, the first time entering the Yellow Sea, not only is a deterrent to the DPRK, the Chinese mainland, is also under siege. .Huang Haijun speech beginning, the Chinese mainland to resume six-party talks proposed by early December the proposal, but was refused the United States, Japan and Korea. .Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral Mike Mullen ‧ that the title on the Korean mainland China if you do not take concrete action, is bound to suffer. .‧ Mike Mullen said, "China has been providing assistance to North Korea for years. They can play the role of checks and balances to avoid the escalation of the crisis, and resolve problems. We need China on this issue further, because it has a direct threat to the .countries of the region's security and interests. "Admiral Mike Mullen, then ‧ shows that the six-party talks, the United States has lost interest in the game. .The tripartite talks, U.S. Secretary of State as well as Japan, South Korea Foreign Minister on December 6 in Washington, the crisis on the peninsula, emergency consultations. .China and Russia and the United States to become actively seek the object. .However, if the Japanese took the opportunity to eliminate North Korea South Korea Kim dynasty, Russia will never come to the rescue. .The Korean War in the 1950s, the former Soviet Union money, the people in China to support North Korea, there are many factors, most notably in the world communist movement was still at its height, it is the communist regime, "the superiority of ."know very little, have for the ideals of the noble goal; but after several decades of practice, the most" superiority "in the fall of the Soviet Union self, people have a deep understanding how the doctrine is to" excellent ", not .incitement and will no longer be deceived. .For example, in the 1990s when the U.S. attacked Yugoslavia, Yugoslavia and Russia in the ethnic composition is very similar, are Slavs. .But Russia is also limited to a verbal protest, did not send a single soldier, did not give a penny to help Yugoslavia, resistance against the United States. .If today destroy the North Korean regime to attack South Korea, Russia has been the foundation of democracy, not to send troops to save the money and gold dynasty. .Of course, in the end the U.S. South Korea and Japan will not use force to resolve the North Korean feudal dynasty, the last depends on the attitude of the leaders of South Korea. .Although the South Korean Presidential Office issued in November 23 strongly worded statement said that if North Korea launched to further provocation, the army will severely deal with South Korea, while South Korean President Lee Myung-bak is conservative, with his predecessor Kim Dae-jung, Roh Moo-hyun than he .North Korea has taken a tougher attitude, but he is not willing to bear the charges of their own people to kill their own people, to destroy the North Korean regime. .In fact, China does not want war on the Korean peninsula. .Yin Ping Island incident the same day, the White House on the incident that "strongly condemned", saying "we are with our South Korean allies to continue close contact. The United States strongly condemns today's attacks, called on North Korea to halt the fighting action and strict compliance with the truce agreement. U.S. .has the responsibility to protect our allies - South Korea, and the maintenance of regional peace and stability. "At the same time, a visit to Russia, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao in Moscow meeting with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev spoke about the situation in the peninsula, also said China" .against any military provocation, "and calls on all parties to exercise maximum restraint. .While the soft approach, but demonstrate the antipathy of the Korean military provocation, and the war on the Korean Peninsula if the Chinese will not send troops, "Korean War" indifference. .However, from the Korean point of view, whether from the military or from the economic front, do not have the strength of confrontation with South Korea; the reason why North Korea on March 26 this year, Cheonan hit only 8 months after the incident, re-open the shelling South Korea .territory, it is clear there is tremendous support in the back. .China has been North Korea's only political ally and main economic assistance, and despite the international community to impose sanctions on the DPRK, but China is still to Kim Jong Il regime to provide political support and economic assistance. .Therefore, overseas media that the Chinese government in control of the DPRK behind the attack in Korea, his shooting itself in the foot. .Since the second nuclear test North Korea after the nuclear countries have been hoping to proceed with the negotiation of identity, breaking the UN Security Council Resolution 1874 of the constraints, which allows the United States, China and other countries by default as "nuclear" strategic objective, but also .North Korea claimed that the outside world "C program" clearly want to be a permanent nuclear powers. .North Korea in the "C Plan" envisaged in the United States will eventually learn to peaceful coexistence with the DPRK with nuclear weapons, through the signing of a peace agreement to end decades of hostility between the state and the establishment of full diplomatic relations. .The plan also includes recognition of North Korea acts as a responsible nuclear power, with the United States recognized North Korea hoped to achieve the aspirations of global nuclear disarmament. ."C Plan" after the release by the Chinese more positive response, but the Korea-US cold treatment has been ignored. .North Korea through the shelling and, indeed, to the United States sent a strong signal, requiring the United States to consider North Korea's "C program." .North Korea is building new facilities, raw materials needed to produce nuclear weapons. .North Korea has the ability to extract plutonium, is building new facilities to enrich uranium. .Bush administration, North Korea first admitted that they have the ability to extract raw materials, nuclear weapons, and later denied it, now saying that there is, and show initiative to visit the American scientists to prove that it is not derivative. .The intention is clear, that is to tell the international community, in addition to providing economic assistance to North Korea, no other way, or you can bring North Korea to provide nuclear technology to Iran, or even available to the base of the terrorists. .The North Korean nuclear blackmail tactic is not fresh, and each time money when the North Korean nuclear weapons must be put out Liangliang Xiang, and ant, but it would need only to provide assistance to not to be repeated, but each time the tether, .and increasing the nuclear blackmail of the chips, from 1994 a framework agreement during the Clinton administration to Bush's proposed six-party talks, and later the United States agreed to bilateral talks with North Korea, 2007 agreement, the DPRK removed from the blacklist. .North Korea once again juggle the international community, once again succeed. .North Korea to show off a nuclear weapon out, again put a pass gun South Korea, the United States, South Korea, and the international community for a faint, that Kim Jong-woon's hereditary throne be firmly secured. .While many democratic countries, a strong military and economic power, but democracy, born of compromise and appeasement of the system, as long as no harm to national security, would rather compromise, making the time-tested gold dynasty, never bored. .The international community with North Korea, is the relationship between a gentleman and rogue, with the rogue reason, gentlemen's agreement with the rogue set. .From the perspective of interest, although China does not want war on the Korean Peninsula, but hope that Kim and his son continue to toss. .Only North Korea continue to toss, South Korea is not the fault can not have demand in China. .Developments such as this may force the United States had to begin to consider the North Korean nuclear problem, if the six-party talks on DPRK nuclear issue needs to be resolved the way, then the six-party talks is led by the Chinese to grasp the initiative. .If the United States want to put pressure on the DPRK to make use of China, China can turn South Korea military exercises in the problem of North Korea, Taiwan, South China Sea and the RMB exchange rate issue and other issues on the demand that the U.S. concessions. .Since March 26, 2010 Cheonan incident, rapid warming relations between China and North Korea. .According to media reports, Kim Jong Il officially announced as his successor, the third son of Jin Zhengen ago, in August had to carry Jinzheng En secret visit to China, focusing on "Tuogu"; And in October, led a delegation to visit North Korea and Zhou Yongkang .and Kim Jong Il reviewed with the North Korean military exercises in the reviewing stand; almost at the same time, the Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Guo visited North Korea and Kim Jong-il and Jin Zhengen and attended the gymnasium in Pyongyang to attend the "60th anniversary ceremony of the Korean War", and .In the past several decades, North Korea has said its own national education fight the Korean War the Korean himself, there is no relationship between Korean and Chinese volunteers. .A series of moves that China and North Korea have been the situation on the Korean Peninsula reached a high degree of consensus. .This time the real reason for the DPRK shelling, the United States and China is actually two big countries in Asia due to the contest. .Sino-US exchange rate from the Trade Dispute, shortly before Hu Jintao's visit to France and Portugal, while Obama to visit China to avoid the 4 countries in Asia, to 6,000 billion U.S. introduction of quantitative easing policy at China - United States .the launch of the policy issue of 6,000 million U.S. dollars to buy bonds, forcing the dollar against other currencies including renminbi devaluation, it is easy to see the friction in Sino-US escalating; and Cheonan South Korea military exercises and the events triggered by "Washington" .Yellow aircraft carrier advance and eventually become the North Korean artillery fuse. .Through Korea, China and the U.S. two big countries with different ideologies, began a new round of confrontation; This is similar to the former Soviet Union and the United States against the Cold War confrontation. .Approach taken by the Chinese government is using North Korea to curb the United States, in a controlled range, so that further escalation of the Korean Peninsula, then through economic and military support to North Korea six-party talks, but at the same time negotiated settlement leading the way to North Korea .Control of the United States. .North Korea by the United States called the axis of evil, in order to achieve its "C program" can do anything, to do things no bottom line, from the shelling of civilians in South Korea can be seen; the Chinese government has is the use of the characteristics of their work is no bottom line to put pressure on .United States; Although the United States for China on economic and military have the advantage, but South Korea and North Korea without an economy, foreign relations, the DPRK encountered such a boring country of extremism, often met with "barefoot shoes are not afraid of the" embarrassing .situation. .North Korea has nuclear weapons deliberately used to show manufacturing of centrifuges, nuclear blackmail is as amnesty. .The Korean Peninsula crisis, it seems beneficial to China. .But because China is North Korea's shield, and further to Korea and Japan into the arms of the United States, sitting implementation of the United States, Japan alliance in East Asia. .And China, had to pull Russia, issued a "friends forever and never become enemies," the joint statement. .The Korean Peninsula of gunfire, the shock out of the new world situation, Sino-US two camps implicitly profile. .And the past Soviet Union as the Cold War, the boss of a very different, the Soviet Union, communism was a huge camp, and now China, the DPRK only do the only shield. .Moreover, the DPRK also discord with Beijing, but to use China's status as a permanent member of the Security Council to safeguard their vested interests only. .On the surface, North Korea's action is against South Korean Lee Myung-bak regime and "U.S. imperialism", but it can be seen through the mist, gold and his son is "ulterior intention of covering up", perform the play to Beijing to see the .. .The simplest interpretation is that North Korea announced the launch of alternation of power in the program, which is the highest decision-making Jin Zhengen time began to intervene, China has clearly told Pyongyang that if North Korea wants China to support Jin Zhengen succession, North Korea must promote economic reform. .But Kim and his son apparently thought, take the Chinese model of reform, the economy is bound to be subject to Chinese economic circle, and may eventually lead to the rule of Kim and his son hereditary pattern collapse, Pyongyang can not put economic reform first. .If North Korea really wants to learn the Chinese model, and promote economic development, are bound to be in the diplomatic field, "keeping a low profile" and strive for a peaceful environment, and now the opposite of Pyongyang, apparently forced to get rid of the pressure of economic reform. .Pyongyang create external tensions, is to cover up the problem of internal political cleansing. .As we all know, Kim decided to take over less than 30-year-old Jin Zhengen is bound to start a brutal internal cleansing campaign, clearing the way Jin Zhengen succession thorns, while pro-China camp will become the main target. .Kim and his son can be "pro-China", it is only a political strategy and rule the wrist, but it can not appear within the ruling circles pro-China camp, threatening the King and his son dictatorship. .To transfer the outside world, especially China's attention, Pyongyang deliberately intensify "war conflicts." .Of course, gold is very clear and his son to China to take a complex roundabout means, or provoke mainland China, not economic aid, threatening the King and his son dictatorship. .Kim Jong-il, Jinzheng En son's provocation, the United States and South Korea to accept the "security" incident storm lesson, there is no over-reaction, because a too, the problem turned into a confrontation with China, but also indirectly helped the Jinzheng En Li .Granville. .Therefore, the United States considerable restraint on the uranium enrichment issue, clearly said that the incident "unfortunate", but not yet constitute a crisis; Yan Ping Island in the exchange of fire, but also just published strongly worded condemnation, that the protection of South Korea, but there is no mechanism to start the war .. .Though both have recognized the only way to deal with rogue gold is out of a tough attitude, the end of the Kim family dynasty as a clear goal, and only toward the end of communist dictatorship, to end the North Korean nuclear crisis, in order for more than twenty million .Korean residents out of fear, but if indeed war, China's 1.3 billion people in the absence of democratic decision-making situations, it is likely to be held hostage by a few crazy rulers, despite everything. .So, it is difficult to avoid World War III, the Chinese economy would certainly back 100 years, and the whole world will also be tragic tragedy. .Now the Korean Peninsula, "ball", it seems that back in the hands of Beijing. .Beijing to see North Korea's strategy should be fully means, into a strategic opportunity for the crisis. .First, do not blindly support to Pyongyang, but through internal channels, pressure Kim Jong Il and his son, let them know that Beijing is not a "fool", Beijing is conditional support for North Korea, Pyongyang can not be dragged into the water, but can not be pro-China forces .pain killers. .Second, through the cooperation with the United States, the United States clearly matters in Asia, especially East Asia, Northeast Asian affairs, China has a decisive influence to stop the U.S. geopolitical favoritism in Japan, dependent on Japan. .Especially in Beijing must be soberly aware of their strength, careful consideration: the former Soviet Union is doing the same boss, and then the siege was the developed world, eventually leading to collapse of the regime, or the study of Deng Xiaoping "never take the lead" and Jiang Zemin's "boring .Sound fortune, "and then determined to be regime change, the modern civilized countries in Europe and America embarked on a peace, development..